Thursday, September 22, 2011

Equity Markets - What should I do ?

The equity markets ( Sensex) in India fell by 4.3% on 22nd September ‘2011 – one of the biggest single day fall in the last 18 months.

The previous big fall was of 546 points on 24th Feb’2011 , but again the markets regained 623 points on 1st Mar’2011.

The fall in the sensex YTD for the year has been 24% , and for the period Jan’2010 – till date, the sensex has delivered negative return of 6.8%.
So the obvious question is what should be the investment strategy now ?

The answer ,as per our take is:

• Keep things simple

• Follow the asset allocation strategy

• Going overweight on debt is recommended ( FMP’s ; Short Term Funds ; Liquid Funds) with a dash of gold

• Redirecting the equity SIP’s into debt for the next 6 months or till we see positive signals ( reduction in interest rates , inflation numbers going down, to name a few)

• On every fall of 15% in markets, switching 10% back into equity ( Since , we do not know what is the bottom, a creeping acquisition works well)

• On Direct Equity – being stock specific is the mantra

The investments in equity , be it a mutual fund or a direct equity is always with a 3 -5 year horizon.

Those among us, which has been doing a SIP since 2010, the portfolio should be in the red, unless and until there has been rebalancing . So is the case for the SIP’s undertaken in 2011.

Do not let the market movements disturb your investment methodology. If one has not undertaken the asset allocation formulae – keeping the rules of :

• Time Horizon

• Liquidity

• Risk profile , into account , now is the time to do it.

Keep it simple.. The markets moves on perception. Let it not impact you. Investing based on the above rules, will ensure a better outlook, from your point of view ( Investing is also psychological )

Enjoy your life. And as I say…” This too shall pass”…..

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